6

Freddy Five Four

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 70

Santa Anita · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 14/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS14/06C6C9 @ Del Mar 19/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 91 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 91 par19/07C9OR 91C9 @ Del Mar 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 77 · 6f 120 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 77 par14/08C9OR 77C9 @ Del Mar 21/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 76 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 76 par21/08C9OR 76projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Del Mar?5th5th0
2026-08-14Del Mar?4th4th0
2026-07-19Del Mar?4th4th0
2026-06-14Santa Anita?10th7th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0619/0714/0821/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength85%

Delivery trend +8.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/202610th25/10%10%+0.10
19/07/20264th9/276%50%-0.26
14/08/20264th16/116%40%+0.24
21/08/20265th25/10%20%+0.20