Hoosick Falls
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 66
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-09-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 08/08/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 01/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |