9

King Of Success
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 71
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 16/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |