1
Rapid Ascent
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 66
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 16/08/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |