10
Fumo Grigio
2yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 68
Santa Anita · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |