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4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 106

Santa Anita · Race 8 - Zenyatta S. Presented By Fanduel - Grade 2 · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength5%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 1.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Del Mar 29/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 5f Fm 12129/08C6C6 @ Santa Anita 25/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 104 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 104 parC6 @ Del Mar 16/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 105 · 6f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark16/11/2025 · OR 105 par16/11C6OR 105C1 @ Santa Anita 11/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 107 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 107 parC6 @ Santa Anita 15/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 102 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 102 par15/03C6OR 102C6 @ Santa Anita 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 102 · 6f Fm 124 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 102 parC5 @ Santa Anita 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 100 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 100 par11/06C5OR 100C0 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 103 · 6f110y 121 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 103 parC5 @ Del Mar 06/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 107 · 1m Fas 121 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 107 par6/09C5OR 107projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Del Mar?1st6th−4
2026-07-04Los Alamitos Racecourse?2nd2nd0
2026-06-11Santa Anita?1st6th−4
2026-05-16Santa Anita?1st7th−5
2026-03-15Santa Anita?2nd8th−5
2026-01-11Santa Anita?5th5th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0811/0111/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength87%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20253rd11/271%75%+0.04
25/10/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
16/11/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
11/01/20265th6/594%20%-0.74
15/03/20262nd5/174%67%-0.07
16/05/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
11/06/20261st4/797%100%+0.03
04/07/20262nd6/168%83%+0.15
06/09/20261st7/491%100%+0.09