2

She's No Quant
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 106
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Zenyatta S. Presented By Fanduel - Grade 2 · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲4
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -4.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-05-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 10th | −6 |
| 2026-03-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 10th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength34%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |