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3

Daily Trophy

7yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 36

Sha Tin · Tropicbird Handicap · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: BHA35
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA55 @ Sha Tin 08/02/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 55 · 7f Gd 130 · below its mark08/02/2026 · OR 55 par8/0255OR 55C0 @ Sha Tin 22/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 7f Gd 128BHA51 @ Sha Tin 15/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 51 · 1m Std 126 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 51 par15/0351OR 51C0 @ Sha Tin 01/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m Gd 125C0 @ Sha Tin 06/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m Slo 1246/05C?BHA45 @ Sha Tin 24/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 45 · 7f Gd 120 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 45 parBHA43 @ Sha Tin 07/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 43 · 7f Gd 120 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 43 par7/0643OR 43BHA40 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 40 · 6f Std 135 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 40 parBHA39 @ Sha Tin 12/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 39 · 7f GF 134 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 39 par12/0739OR 39projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Sha TinBHA3911th11th0
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA404th4th0
2026-06-07Sha TinBHA4314th14th0
2026-05-24Sha TinBHA4512th12th0
2026-05-06Sha Tin?7th7th0
2026-04-01Sha Tin?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/021/047/0612/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength69%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/202613th66/10%0%0.00
22/02/202611th80/10%23%+0.23
15/03/20267th66/10%54%+0.54
01/04/20268th20/10%46%+0.46
06/05/20267th20/10%50%+0.50
24/05/202612th40/10%15%+0.15
07/06/202614th66/10%0%0.00
04/07/20264th7/282%73%-0.09
12/07/202611th20/10%23%+0.23