11
Handsome Blond
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 26
Sha Tin · Tropicbird Handicap · 6f
#14
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 10.9)
Highest class: BHA31
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA31 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Sha Tin | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Sha Tin | BHA42 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2025 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 28/06/2025 | 13th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/09/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/10/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 30/10/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/11/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |