7
Mr Good Vibes
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 29
Sha Tin · Tropicbird Handicap · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: BHA23
Recent avg: C2.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA27 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA28 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sha Tin | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Sha Tin | BHA23 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength27%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 28/09/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 04/10/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 10/12/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 19/02/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 12/04/2026 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 09/09/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |