6
Only U
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 30
Sha Tin · Tropicbird Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: BHA35
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA35 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA37 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Sha Tin | BHA36 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Sha Tin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 77% | +0.06 |
| 09/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.01 |
| 20/12/2025 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 46% | -0.42 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 77% | -0.07 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 01/04/2026 | 10th | 7/4 | 91% | 18% | -0.73 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 62% | +0.06 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |