1

Robot Knight
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 39
Sha Tin · Tropicbird Handicap · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: BHA34
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA39 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA39 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Sha Tin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA34 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Sha Tin | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength92%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 12th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 45% | -0.23 |
| 23/12/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 21/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 06/04/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 06/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 30% | -0.52 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 18% | -0.24 |