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So My Folks

5yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 37

Sha Tin · Tropicbird Handicap · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: BHA37
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA52 @ Sha Tin 20/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 52 · 5f Gd 127 · beat its mark20/12/2025 · OR 52 par20/1252OR 52C0 @ Sha Tin 04/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f Std 125C0 @ Sha Tin 21/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f 12521/01C?BHA49 @ Sha Tin 08/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 49 · 6f Gd 128 · beat its mark08/02/2026 · OR 49 parC0 @ Sha Tin 19/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 12319/02C?BHA45 @ Sha Tin 15/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 45 · 6f GF 122 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 45 parBHA44 @ Sha Tin 29/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 44 · 7f Gd 121 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 44 par29/0344OR 44BHA42 @ Sha Tin 12/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 42 · 6f GF 117 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 42 parBHA37 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 37 · 6f Gd 131 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 37 par6/0937OR 37projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA372nd2nd0
2026-07-12Sha TinBHA4213th13th0
2026-03-29Sha TinBHA446th6th0
2026-03-15Sha TinBHA454th4th0
2026-02-19Sha Tin?6th6th0
2026-02-08Sha TinBHA497th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/128/0229/036/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength78%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/202512th28/10%15%+0.15
04/01/20263rd40/10%82%+0.82
21/01/20264th16/116%73%+0.57
08/02/20267th20/10%45%+0.45
19/02/20266th22/10%62%+0.62
15/03/20264th12/137%73%+0.36
29/03/20266th10/147%62%+0.14
12/07/202613th9/153%8%-0.45
06/09/20262nd12/137%92%+0.55