14
Blazing Wind
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 83
Sha Tin · Magpie Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA83 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Sha Tin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Sha Tin | BHA72 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Sha Tin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength87%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 91% | +0.30 |
| 30/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 04/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 08/02/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 01/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 06/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 73% | -0.10 |