11
Pakistan Legacy
6yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 81
Sha Tin · Magpie Handicap · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA81 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA81 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA81 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA80 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sha Tin | BHA74 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Sha Tin | BHA73 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 10/12/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 11/01/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 91% | +0.86 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 12/04/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 9% | -0.44 |
| 07/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |