3
Rising Force
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 93
Sha Tin · Magpie Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA86 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA86 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA82 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA73 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sha Tin | BHA71 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength99%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 45% | -0.44 |
| 01/01/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 92% | -0.03 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 90% | -0.01 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 64% | -0.27 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |