8
Salon S
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 85
Sha Tin · Magpie Handicap · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 1.6)
Highest class: BHA77
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA85 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA77 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Sha Tin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sha Tin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Sha Tin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -12.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 77% | -0.13 |