1
Storm Rider
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 96
Sha Tin · Magpie Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA98 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA102 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA104 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength39%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 7/4 | 91% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 08/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 06/04/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 20/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |