9
Turquoise Velocity
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 85
Sha Tin · Magpie Handicap · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA84 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA81 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA74 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA72 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 11th | 11/10 | 94% | 17% | -0.78 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |