7
Victor The Winner
8yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 90
Sha Tin · Magpie Handicap · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA90 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA85 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA87 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA91 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 14/02/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/03/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 29/03/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 09/05/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.17 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |