6
Young Champion
6yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 91
Sha Tin · Magpie Handicap · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA92 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA92 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA92 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA91 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA85 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 09/05/2026 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |