7
Complete Unknown
4yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 71
Sha Tin · Kestrel Handicap · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA62 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |