16
Do Your Part
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 67
Sha Tin · Kestrel Handicap · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA70 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sha Tin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 85% | -0.04 |
| 18/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 77% | -0.05 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 55% | -0.30 |