8
Endeared
6yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 71
Sha Tin · Kestrel Handicap · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA71 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA71 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Sha Tin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA68 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 45% | -0.10 |
| 25/02/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 85% | +0.27 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.22 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.32 |