12
The Boom Box
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 65
Sha Tin · Kestrel Handicap · 7f
#14
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA67 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA70 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA72 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA74 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA78 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 12-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 22/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 29/03/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 15/04/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 42% | -0.11 |
| 13/09/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |