2
The Red Hare
5yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 77
Sha Tin · Kestrel Handicap · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA77 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA77 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA76 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA69 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA70 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA70 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 62% | -0.15 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.27 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 85% | -0.05 |
| 06/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 26/04/2026 | 11th | 5/1 | 74% | 23% | -0.51 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 54% | +0.01 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |