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12

Glaciated

5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 41

Sha Tin · Peacock Handicap · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

86%

Place Prob

67%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA42 @ Sha Tin 20/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 42 · 6f Gd 119 · beat its mark20/12/2025 · OR 42 par20/1242OR 42C0 @ Sha Tin 04/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f Std 124C0 @ Sha Tin 21/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f 12321/01C?BHA48 @ Sha Tin 08/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 48 · 6f Std 123 · beat its mark08/02/2026 · OR 48 parBHA49 @ Sha Tin 01/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 49 · 6f Gd 126 · beat its mark01/03/2026 · OR 49 par1/0349OR 49C0 @ Happy Valley 08/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 123C0 @ Happy Valley 29/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 12229/04C?BHA44 @ Sha Tin 27/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 44 · 6f Gd 120 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 44 parBHA41 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 41 · 6f GF 116 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 41 par6/0941OR 41projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA414th4th0
2026-06-27Sha TinBHA449th9th0
2026-04-29Happy Valley?10th10th0
2026-04-08Happy Valley?7th7th0
2026-03-01Sha TinBHA4912th12th0
2026-02-08Sha TinBHA483rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/128/0229/046/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
04/01/20267th8/158%45%-0.12
21/01/202611th13/266%9%-0.57
08/02/20263rd25/10%82%+0.82
01/03/202612th9/276%15%-0.61
08/04/20267th40/10%45%+0.45
29/04/202610th11/271%18%-0.53
27/06/20269th12/137%38%+0.02
06/09/20264th18/15%77%+0.72