10
Just Follow Me
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 44
Sha Tin · Peacock Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA48 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA48 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sha Tin | BHA46 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sha Tin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sha Tin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Sha Tin | BHA49 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 21/09/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 26/10/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 46% | +0.04 |
| 23/11/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 19/02/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.27 |
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.19 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 54% | -0.25 |
| 24/05/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 31% | -0.24 |