7
Navas G
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 47
Sha Tin · Peacock Handicap · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 27/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |