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10

Aquaman

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 34

Sha Tin · Woodpecker Handicap · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: BHA36
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA50 @ Sha Tin 11/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 50 · 6f GF 125 · beat its mark11/01/2026 · OR 50 par11/0150OR 50BHA48 @ Sha Tin 25/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 48 · 7f GF 123 · beat its mark25/01/2026 · OR 48 parBHA46 @ Sha Tin 08/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 46 · 7f Gd 121 · beat its mark08/02/2026 · OR 46 par8/0246OR 46BHA45 @ Sha Tin 01/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 45 · 7f Gd 120 · beat its mark01/03/2026 · OR 45 parBHA43 @ Sha Tin 12/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 43 · 6f Gd 118 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 43 par12/0443OR 43BHA41 @ Sha Tin 17/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 41 · 7f Goo 116 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 41 parBHA39 @ Sha Tin 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 39 · 6f Yie 130 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 39 par13/0639OR 39BHA37 @ Sha Tin 27/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 37 · 6f Gd 132 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 37 parBHA36 @ Sha Tin 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 36 · 7f GF 131 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 36 par12/0736OR 36projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Sha TinBHA365th5th0
2026-06-27Sha TinBHA377th7th0
2026-06-13Sha TinBHA397th7th0
2026-05-17Sha TinBHA4113th13th0
2026-04-12Sha TinBHA4310th10th0
2026-03-01Sha TinBHA457th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/011/0313/0612/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength83%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/01/202611th66/10%9%+0.09
25/01/202611th100/10%23%+0.23
08/02/20263rd100/10%83%+0.83
01/03/20267th25/10%54%+0.54
12/04/202610th40/10%18%+0.18
17/05/202613th28/10%8%+0.08
13/06/20267th25/10%40%+0.40
27/06/20267th40/10%54%+0.54
12/07/20265th22/10%69%+0.69