1
Forever Fancy
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 40
Sha Tin · Woodpecker Handicap · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA44 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Sha Tin | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sha Tin | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Sha Tin | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength99%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 15/11/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 27/12/2025 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 03/06/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |