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14

Prince Alex

8yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 28

Sha Tin · Woodpecker Handicap · 7f

#11

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: BHA32
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Happy Valley 12/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 12512/11C?C0 @ Happy Valley 23/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 122C0 @ Happy Valley 14/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 12014/01C?C0 @ Happy Valley 25/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 120BHA40 @ Sha Tin 15/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m Std 115 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 40 par15/0340OR 40C0 @ Happy Valley 13/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 1345 @ Happy Valley 03/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m GF 1313/065C0 @ Sha Tin 01/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 7f GF 129BHA32 @ Sha Tin 12/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 32 · 7f GF 127 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 32 par12/0732OR 32projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Sha TinBHA327th7th0
2026-07-01Sha Tin?4th4th0
2026-06-03Happy Valley58th8th0
2026-05-13Happy Valley?8th8th0
2026-03-15Sha TinBHA4013th13th0
2026-02-25Happy Valley?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1125/023/0612/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength62%

Delivery trend +9.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/11/20259th13/266%27%-0.39
23/12/20258th14/126%36%+0.10
14/01/20269th12/137%27%-0.10
25/02/202610th50/10%18%+0.18
15/03/202613th66/10%8%+0.08
13/05/20268th12/137%36%-0.00
03/06/20268th18/15%36%+0.31
01/07/20264th50/10%77%+0.77
12/07/20267th16/116%54%+0.38