8
Silver Up
8yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 35
Sha Tin · Woodpecker Handicap · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA37 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA41 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Sha Tin | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Sha Tin | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2025 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 9% | -0.54 |
| 01/07/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 01/10/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 26/10/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.09 |
| 30/11/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 62% | -0.07 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 46% | -0.22 |