4
Stormy Knight
4yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 37
Sha Tin · Woodpecker Handicap · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA45 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Sha Tin | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 01/01/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 25/01/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 62% | +0.19 |
| 08/03/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 20/05/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 15/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 09/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |