12
Vigor Elleegant
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 32
Sha Tin · Woodpecker Handicap · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: BHA38
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA38 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Sha Tin | BHA43 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 03/12/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |
| 07/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 14/02/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 25/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 20/05/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |