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14

Comet Radiance

4yo Gelding · 8-4 · OR 40

Sha Tin · Parrot Handicap · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 04/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 5f Gd 1274/01C?BHA52 @ Sha Tin 01/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 52 · 5f Gd 127 · beat its mark01/02/2026 · OR 52 parC0 @ Sha Tin 19/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 12819/02C?C0 @ Sha Tin 08/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 5f Gd 124BHA50 @ Sha Tin 29/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 50 · 5f Gd 125 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 50 par29/0350OR 50BHA50 @ Sha Tin 09/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 50 · 5f Goo 123 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 50 parBHA48 @ Sha Tin 17/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 48 · 5f Goo 123 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 48 par17/0548OR 48BHA46 @ Sha Tin 21/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 46 · 5f Gd 122 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 46 parBHA42 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 42 · 5f Gd 119 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 42 par6/0942OR 42projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA426th6th0
2026-06-21Sha TinBHA467th7th0
2026-05-17Sha TinBHA4811th11th0
2026-05-09Sha TinBHA5011th11th0
2026-03-29Sha TinBHA506th6th0
2026-03-08Sha Tin?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/018/0317/056/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength24%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/01/20264th22/10%75%+0.75
01/02/20267th25/10%54%+0.54
19/02/202612th25/10%15%+0.15
08/03/20262nd28/10%92%+0.92
29/03/20266th17/255%62%+0.06
09/05/202611th28/10%23%+0.23
17/05/202611th40/10%23%+0.23
21/06/20267th33/10%54%+0.54
06/09/20266th14/126%50%+0.24