8
Giant Spirit
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 48
Sha Tin · Parrot Handicap · 5f
#15
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.9)
Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/02/2026 | 13th | 125/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 15/03/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 06/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 20/05/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 31/05/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 08/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/09/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |