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5yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 42

Sha Tin · Parrot Handicap · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA58 @ Sha Tin 15/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 58 · 7f GF 133 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 58 par15/0358OR 58BHA55 @ Sha Tin 29/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 55 · 7f Gd 132 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 55 parBHA52 @ Sha Tin 06/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 52 · 7f Gd 127 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 52 par6/0452OR 52BHA52 @ Sha Tin 19/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 52 · 7f Gd 127 · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 52 parBHA51 @ Sha Tin 03/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 51 · 7f Yie 130 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 51 par3/0551OR 51BHA49 @ Sha Tin 24/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 49 · 7f Gd 124 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 49 parBHA48 @ Sha Tin 13/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 48 · 7f Yie 124 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 48 par13/0648OR 48BHA46 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 46 · 7f Gd 122 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 46 parBHA42 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 42 · 5f Gd 119 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 42 par6/0942OR 42projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA423rd3rd0
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA469th9th0
2026-06-13Sha TinBHA489th9th0
2026-05-24Sha TinBHA493rd3rd0
2026-05-03Sha TinBHA517th7th0
2026-04-19Sha TinBHA523rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0319/0413/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +2.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/202613th16/116%8%-0.08
29/03/202610th80/10%31%+0.31
06/04/202610th125/10%31%+0.31
19/04/20263rd16/116%85%+0.69
03/05/20267th10/147%54%+0.06
24/05/20263rd33/10%85%+0.85
13/06/20269th13/266%38%-0.27
04/07/20269th14/126%38%+0.12
06/09/20263rd18/15%80%+0.75