15
Master Champion
5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 59
Sha Tin · Parrot Handicap · 5f
#12
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA61 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA67 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/10/2025 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 22/10/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 27/05/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/07/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 13/09/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |