1
Rapid Phantom
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 58
Sha Tin · Parrot Handicap · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
87%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -9.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 85% | +0.29 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 77% | +0.08 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |