2
Run Run Sunrise
4yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 55
Sha Tin · Parrot Handicap · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA57 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA59 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 85% | -0.02 |
| 17/05/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 31% | -0.53 |
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.14 |
| 04/07/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |