9
Thunder Prince
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 48
Sha Tin · Parrot Handicap · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA48 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA48 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength67%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 77% | +0.51 |
| 22/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 73% | -0.13 |
| 20/05/2026 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 9% | -0.72 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 06/09/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |