11
Zouper Fellow
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 47
Sha Tin · Parrot Handicap · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA43 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
Delivery trend -11.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 08/02/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 70% | +0.65 |
| 06/04/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 19/04/2026 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 23% | -0.56 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 07/06/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 08/07/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |