1
Causeway King
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60
Sha Tin · Swallow Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 12/07/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 23% | -0.14 |