9
Joltin
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 46
Sha Tin · Swallow Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 9.2)
Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA53 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA56 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA59 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 12-13 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 01/03/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 15/03/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/04/2026 | 12th | 150/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 26/04/2026 | 14th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 07/06/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 23% | +0.07 |
| 09/09/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |