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8

Lucky Doctor

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 48

Sha Tin · Swallow Handicap · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 9.9)

Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA65 @ Sha Tin 08/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 65 · 6f Std 119 · below its mark08/02/2026 · OR 65 par8/0265OR 65BHA65 @ Sha Tin 01/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 65 · 6f Gd 122 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 65 parBHA63 @ Sha Tin 29/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 63 · 7f Gd 120 · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 63 par29/0363OR 63C0 @ Happy Valley 15/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 118C0 @ Happy Valley 29/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 13529/04C?BHA56 @ Sha Tin 13/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 56 · 6f Std 131 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 56 parBHA54 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 54 · 7f Gd 130 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 54 par4/0754OR 54BHA50 @ Sha Tin 13/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 50 · 6f GF 127 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 50 par13/0950OR 50projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Sha TinBHA5011th11th0
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA547th7th0
2026-06-13Sha TinBHA568th8th0
2026-04-29Happy Valley?12th12th0
2026-04-15Happy Valley?10th10th0
2026-03-29Sha TinBHA6311th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0215/044/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength35%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/202612th50/10%0%0.00
01/03/20268th50/10%30%+0.30
29/03/202611th100/10%0%0.00
15/04/202610th125/10%18%+0.18
29/04/202612th66/10%0%0.00
13/06/20268th50/10%36%+0.36
04/07/20267th50/10%54%+0.54
13/09/202611th7/163%23%-0.40