7
M M Concord
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 54
Sha Tin · Swallow Handicap · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA62 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/03/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 09/05/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 62% | -0.24 |