13
Ten Loves
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 57
Sha Tin · Swallow Handicap · 6f
#13
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)
Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA59 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength46%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 21/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 13/09/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |