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9

Ghorgan

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 50

Sha Tin · Tailorbird Handicap · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA65 @ Sha Tin 25/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 65 · 1m GF 123 · below its mark25/01/2026 · OR 65 par25/0165OR 65C0 @ Sha Tin 22/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 7f Gd 115BHA64 @ Sha Tin 15/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 64 · 7f GF 123 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 64 par15/0364OR 64BHA64 @ Sha Tin 12/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 64 · 7f Gd 122 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 64 parBHA62 @ Sha Tin 17/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 62 · 7f Goo 122 · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 62 par17/0562OR 62C0 @ Happy Valley 27/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m 115BHA58 @ Sha Tin 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 58 · 7f Yie 133 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 58 par13/0658OR 58BHA56 @ Sha Tin 27/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 56 · 6f Gd 131 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 56 parBHA52 @ Sha Tin 13/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 52 · 6f GF 128 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 52 par13/0952OR 52projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Sha TinBHA529th9th0
2026-06-27Sha TinBHA568th8th0
2026-06-13Sha TinBHA585th5th0
2026-05-27Happy Valley?6th6th0
2026-05-17Sha TinBHA6212th12th0
2026-04-12Sha TinBHA6410th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0112/0413/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/01/20268th9/153%46%-0.06
22/02/20262nd16/116%92%+0.77
15/03/20267th9/276%45%-0.31
12/04/202610th11/486%18%-0.67
17/05/202612th9/153%15%-0.37
27/05/20266th10/147%44%-0.03
13/06/20265th11/271%69%-0.02
27/06/20268th6/168%46%-0.22
13/09/20269th12/137%38%+0.02