7

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5yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 51

Sha Tin · Tailorbird Handicap · 7f

#14

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Happy Valley 04/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f Gd 1214/02C?C0 @ Happy Valley 04/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 1244/03C?C0 @ Happy Valley 25/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f Gd 11925/03C?C0 @ Happy Valley 29/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 11629/04C?C0 @ Happy Valley 27/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f 13427/05C?C0 @ Happy Valley 08/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f Gd 1318/07C?BHA53 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 53 · 5f Gd 130 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 53 par6/0953OR 53projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA5310th10th0
2026-07-08Happy Valley?7th7th0
2026-05-27Happy Valley?8th8th0
2026-04-29Happy Valley?10th10th0
2026-03-25Happy Valley?8th8th0
2026-03-04Happy Valley?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0229/046/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength25%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/02/20265th22/10%60%+0.60
04/03/20268th9/153%22%-0.30
25/03/20268th11/142%30%-0.12
29/04/202610th28/10%18%+0.18
27/05/20268th28/10%36%+0.36
08/07/20267th28/10%45%+0.45
06/09/202610th66/10%10%+0.10